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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 19

Sydney FC

SYD

Auckland FC

AUC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sydney FC39%
Draw29%
Auckland FC32%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.20

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sydney FC will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.

48%Possession37%
30%Territory36%
28%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.06
5.5%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sydney FC, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90