A-League Men · Matchweek 19
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle Jets42%
Draw25%
Western Sydney33%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.48
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
66%Possession60%
52%Territory37%
19%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 3 for Western Sydney. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newcastle Jets
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.