A-League Men · Matchweek 18
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Adelaide United
ADE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle Jets50%
Draw22%
Adelaide United28%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.56
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.9%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–26.4%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession59%
52%Territory38%
19%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.08
3.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 2 for Adelaide United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.