Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 18

Perth Glory

PER

Sydney FC

SYD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Perth Glory38%
Draw29%
Sydney FC32%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.17

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

42%Possession48%
31%Territory30%
25%From set plays28%
0.15Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Perth Glory, 3 for Sydney FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90