A-League Men · Matchweek 18
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Macarthur FC
MAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brisbane Roar FC41%
Draw29%
Macarthur FC29%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.07
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession43%
39%Territory34%
40%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Macarthur FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.