A-League Men · Matchweek 17
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne Victory40%
Draw29%
Western Sydney31%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.16
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Western Sydney will have the ball; Melbourne Victory will not mind.
51%Possession60%
34%Territory37%
19%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.11
3.3%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Western Sydney. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.