A-League Men · Matchweek 17
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Central Coast Mariners
CEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne City FC55%
Draw25%
Central Coast20%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession53%
36%Territory36%
41%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne City FC, 3 for Central Coast. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne City FC
Central Coast
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.