A-League Men · Matchweek 17
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle Jets47%
Draw25%
Brisbane Roar FC28%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.29
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession63%
52%Territory39%
19%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newcastle Jets
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.