A-League Men · Matchweek 17
Auckland FC
AUC
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Auckland FC48%
Draw25%
Wellington Phoenix27%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.26
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Auckland FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
37%Possession33%
36%Territory38%
41%From set plays6%
0.06Chance quality0.17
7.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auckland FC, 3 for Wellington Phoenix. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auckland FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.