A-League Men · Matchweek 16
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Central Coast Mariners
CEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brisbane Roar FC47%
Draw28%
Central Coast25%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.02
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession53%
39%Territory36%
40%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Central Coast. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Coast
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.