A-League Men · Matchweek 16
Sydney FC
SYD
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sydney FC38%
Draw30%
Melbourne City FC32%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.10
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–011.2%
- 0–110.9%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession53%
30%Territory36%
28%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sydney FC, 3 for Melbourne City FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.