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A-League Men · Matchweek 16

Macarthur FC

MAC

Auckland FC

AUC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Macarthur FC35%
Draw28%
Auckland FC38%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.40

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Auckland FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession37%
34%Territory36%
24%From set plays41%
0.14Chance quality0.06
5.1%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Macarthur FC, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.