A-League Men · Matchweek 16
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wellington Phoenix39%
Draw28%
Western Sydney33%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.29
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Western Sydney will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.
33%Possession60%
38%Territory37%
6%From set plays19%
0.17Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wellington Phoenix, 3 for Western Sydney. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wellington Phoenix
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.