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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 16

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Perth Glory

PER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets46%
Draw24%
Perth Glory30%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.48

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Newcastle Jets will have the ball; Perth Glory will not mind.

66%Possession42%
52%Territory31%
19%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.16
3.2%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 3 for Perth Glory. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90