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A-League Men · Matchweek 15

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

WES

Sydney FC

SYD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Western Sydney41%
Draw30%
Sydney FC29%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.07

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–012.5%
  • 0–010.7%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Western Sydney will have the ball; Sydney FC will not mind.

60%Possession48%
37%Territory30%
19%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.09
3.5%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Western Sydney, 3 for Sydney FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.