A-League Men · Matchweek 15
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle Jets43%
Draw25%
Melbourne Victory32%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.50
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle Jets will have the ball; Melbourne Victory will not mind.
66%Possession51%
52%Territory34%
19%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.12
3.2%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 3 for Melbourne Victory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.