A-League Men · Matchweek 15
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Perth Glory
PER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wellington Phoenix43%
Draw26%
Perth Glory30%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.29
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Perth Glory will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.
33%Possession42%
38%Territory31%
6%From set plays24%
0.17Chance quality0.16
6.5%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wellington Phoenix, 3 for Perth Glory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wellington Phoenix
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.