A-League Men · Matchweek 15
Adelaide United
ADE
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Adelaide United35%
Draw27%
Melbourne City FC38%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.41
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession53%
38%Territory36%
23%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 3 for Melbourne City FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.