A-League Men · Matchweek 14
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Sydney FC
SYD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne Victory41%
Draw29%
Sydney FC30%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.1%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession48%
34%Territory30%
18%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Sydney FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.