A-League Men · Matchweek 14
Macarthur FC
MAC
Adelaide United
ADE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Macarthur FC43%
Draw26%
Adelaide United31%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.33
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.3%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession59%
34%Territory38%
24%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Macarthur FC, 2 for Adelaide United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Macarthur FC
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.