Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 14

Auckland FC

AUC

Perth Glory

PER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Auckland FC48%
Draw26%
Perth Glory26%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.16

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Auckland FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

37%Possession42%
36%Territory31%
41%From set plays25%
0.06Chance quality0.15
7.1%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auckland FC, 3 for Perth Glory. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90