Skip to content

A-League Men · Matchweek 14

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Central Coast Mariners

CEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets56%
Draw22%
Central Coast22%

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.35

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Newcastle Jets will have the ball; Central Coast will not mind.

66%Possession53%
52%Territory36%
19%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.2%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 3 for Central Coast. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.