A-League Men · Matchweek 14
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brisbane Roar FC39%
Draw29%
Wellington Phoenix32%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.20
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession33%
39%Territory38%
40%From set plays6%
0.10Chance quality0.17
5.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Wellington Phoenix. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.