A-League Men · Matchweek 14
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Western Sydney39%
Draw30%
Melbourne City FC31%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.13
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession53%
37%Territory36%
19%From set plays41%
0.11Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Western Sydney, 3 for Melbourne City FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Western Sydney
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.