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A-League Men · Matchweek 13

Perth Glory

PER

Central Coast Mariners

CEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Perth Glory50%
Draw26%
Central Coast24%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.12

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Central Coast will have the ball; Perth Glory will not mind.

42%Possession53%
31%Territory36%
25%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Perth Glory, 3 for Central Coast. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.