A-League Men · Matchweek 13
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne City FC46%
Draw29%
Brisbane Roar FC25%
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.93
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession63%
36%Territory39%
41%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne City FC, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne City FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.