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A-League Men · Matchweek 13

Melbourne Victory

MEB

Auckland FC

AUC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Melbourne Victory39%
Draw28%
Auckland FC33%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.28

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Melbourne Victory will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.

51%Possession37%
34%Territory36%
18%From set plays41%
0.12Chance quality0.06
3.4%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.