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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 13

Macarthur FC

MAC

Wellington Phoenix

WEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Macarthur FC39%
Draw27%
Wellington Phoenix34%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.36

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Macarthur FC will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.

43%Possession33%
34%Territory38%
24%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.17
5.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Macarthur FC, 3 for Wellington Phoenix. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.