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A-League Men · Matchweek 12

Adelaide United

ADE

Sydney FC

SYD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Adelaide United37%
Draw28%
Sydney FC35%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.33

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession48%
38%Territory30%
23%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 3 for Sydney FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Adelaide United

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.