A-League Men · Matchweek 12
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brisbane Roar FC37%
Draw30%
Melbourne Victory33%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.13
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession51%
39%Territory34%
40%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Melbourne Victory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.