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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 12

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Auckland FC

AUC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets41%
Draw24%
Auckland FC35%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.63

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Newcastle Jets will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.

66%Possession37%
52%Territory36%
19%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.06
3.2%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle Jets, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90