A-League Men · Matchweek 12
Perth Glory
PER
Macarthur FC
MAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Perth Glory44%
Draw27%
Macarthur FC29%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.18
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession43%
31%Territory34%
25%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Perth Glory, 3 for Macarthur FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Perth Glory
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.