A-League Men · Matchweek 12
Central Coast Mariners
CEN
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Central Coast31%
Draw28%
Western Sydney41%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.42
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession60%
36%Territory37%
15%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Coast, 3 for Western Sydney. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Coast
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.