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A-League Men · Matchweek 11

Melbourne Victory

MEB

Perth Glory

PER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Melbourne Victory44%
Draw27%
Perth Glory28%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.15

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Melbourne Victory will have the ball; Perth Glory will not mind.

51%Possession42%
34%Territory31%
19%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.15
3.3%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Perth Glory. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.