A-League Men · Matchweek 11
Sydney FC
SYD
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sydney FC43%
Draw30%
Brisbane Roar FC26%
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.95
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession63%
30%Territory39%
28%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sydney FC, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.