A-League Men · Matchweek 11
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wellington Phoenix44%
Draw23%
Newcastle Jets33%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.64
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle Jets will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.
33%Possession66%
38%Territory52%
6%From set plays19%
0.17Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wellington Phoenix, 3 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wellington Phoenix
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.