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A-League Men · Matchweek 11

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

WES

Macarthur FC

MAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Western Sydney47%
Draw27%
Macarthur FC26%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.07

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 2–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Western Sydney will have the ball; Macarthur FC will not mind.

60%Possession43%
37%Territory34%
19%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.14
3.5%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Western Sydney, 3 for Macarthur FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.