A-League Men · Matchweek 11
Auckland FC
AUC
Adelaide United
ADE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Auckland FC51%
Draw24%
Adelaide United25%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.24
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession59%
36%Territory38%
41%From set plays23%
0.06Chance quality0.08
7.1%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auckland FC, 2 for Adelaide United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auckland FC
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.