A-League Men · Matchweek 11
Central Coast Mariners
CEN
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Central Coast29%
Draw28%
Melbourne City FC43%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.44
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession53%
36%Territory36%
15%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Coast, 3 for Melbourne City FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Coast
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.