A-League Men · Matchweek 10
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Perth Glory
PER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brisbane Roar FC39%
Draw30%
Perth Glory31%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.11
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession42%
39%Territory31%
40%From set plays25%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Perth Glory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.