A-League Men · Matchweek 10
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne Victory44%
Draw27%
Wellington Phoenix29%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.24
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne Victory will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.
51%Possession33%
34%Territory38%
19%From set plays6%
0.12Chance quality0.17
3.3%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Wellington Phoenix. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.