A-League Men · Matchweek 10
Sydney FC
SYD
Macarthur FC
MAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sydney FC46%
Draw28%
Macarthur FC26%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.05
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession43%
30%Territory34%
28%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sydney FC, 3 for Macarthur FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.