A-League Men · Matchweek 10
Adelaide United
ADE
Central Coast Mariners
CEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Adelaide United49%
Draw25%
Central Coast26%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.27
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession53%
38%Territory36%
23%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 3 for Central Coast. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Central Coast
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.