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A-League Men · Matchweek 10

Melbourne City FC

MEL

Auckland FC

AUC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Melbourne City FC42%
Draw28%
Auckland FC30%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.18

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Melbourne City FC will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.

53%Possession37%
36%Territory36%
41%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.06
5.5%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne City FC, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.