A-League Men · Matchweek 10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Western Sydney46%
Draw25%
Newcastle Jets30%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.42
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession66%
37%Territory52%
19%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Western Sydney, 3 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Western Sydney
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.