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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 9

Macarthur FC

MAC

Central Coast Mariners

CEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Macarthur FC48%
Draw26%
Central Coast26%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.15

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Central Coast will have the ball; Macarthur FC will not mind.

43%Possession53%
34%Territory36%
24%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Macarthur FC, 3 for Central Coast. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.