A-League Men · Matchweek 9
Adelaide United
ADE
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Adelaide United40%
Draw23%
Newcastle Jets36%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.76
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–05.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession66%
38%Territory52%
23%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 3 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.