A-League Men · Matchweek 9
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne City FC44%
Draw28%
Melbourne Victory28%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.09
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–09.5%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession51%
36%Territory34%
41%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne City FC, 3 for Melbourne Victory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne City FC
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.