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A-League Men · Matchweek 9

Brisbane Roar FC

BRI

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brisbane Roar FC36%
Draw31%
Western Sydney34%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.12

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 0–011.7%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

63%Possession60%
39%Territory37%
40%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Western Sydney. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.