A-League Men · Matchweek 9
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Auckland FC
AUC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wellington Phoenix38%
Draw26%
Auckland FC35%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.43
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Auckland FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
33%Possession37%
38%Territory36%
6%From set plays41%
0.17Chance quality0.06
6.5%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wellington Phoenix, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wellington Phoenix
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.